California home sales and prices
Last week we saw a report by the California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.), that showed home sales and prices moderated in December as mortgage rates edged higher. For all of 2021, California home sales recorded the strongest pace since 2009!
For December 2021, California home sales were down 5.4 percent on a monthly basis from November and was down 15.7 percent from a year ago.
California home sales and prices
California’s real estate market continued to outperform 2020’s level and remained competitive even as home prices rose at a double-digit pace.
Despite a deceleration in growth at the end of the year, the statewide median price rose to $796,570 in December, up 1.8 percent from November’s $782,480 and up 11.0 percent from the $717,930 recorded in December 2020. The double-digit annual price gain was the 17th consecutive month with more than a 10 percent increase since the summer of 2020. The annual increase was also the smallest since July 2020 as the share of high-end homes continued to moderate since July 2021. For the year as a whole, California set a new annual record median price of $786,750, improving 19.3 percent from the prior year.
C.A.R.’s December 2021 resale housing report also showed:
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- At the regional level, all major regions in California recorded a sales decline on a year-over-year basis by more than 10 percent in December. The San Francisco Bay Area — which had a surge in sales of 40.2 percent in December 2020 — had the biggest sales decline at the end of 2021, dipping -23.1 percent on an annual basis. The Central Coast also had a sizable drop of -18.7 percent in December, followed by the Far North (-17.2 percent), Southern California (-10.7 percent), and Central Valley (-10.5 percent). For the full year, all regions exceeded the prior year in sales, with the San Francisco Bay Area increasing the most by 14.6 percent. The Far North region had the smallest gain of 0.3 percent, due partly to the adverse impact of last summer’s wildfires.
- All but nine counties tracked by C.A.R. experienced a year-over-year sales decrease in December, with 32 counties dipping more than 10 percent from a year ago. Marin had the biggest sales drop from last year with a decline of -51.1 percent, followed by Plumas (-40.0 percent) and Contra Costa (-30.2 percent). Counties with a sales decline decreased an average of -17.3 percent in December. Nine counties managed to improve in sales from a year ago at the year-end, with San Benito (52.3 percent) leading the pack with the biggest year-over-year increase, followed by Siskiyou (11.4 percent), Glenn (11.1 percent), and Sutter (11.1 percent).
- Market competitiveness was less heated than a few months ago but remained elevated in December. While the statewide median sales-price-to-list-price ratio remained above 100 percent, December’s number was the lowest level since February 2021. Nearly three-fifths of homes (58 percent) still sold above asking price in the latest monthly report but were at the lowest level in 10 months.
- California’s Unsold Inventory Index (UII) fell in December to its lowest level on record since C.A.R. began tracking this figure in January 1988, as active listings fell 24.1 percent from last year. December’s UII was 1.2 months and was below 1.4 months in the same month of2020. The index indicates the number of months it would take to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current rate of sales.
- The median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home was 12 days in December and 11 days in December 2020.
- C.A.R.’s statewide sales-price-to-list-price ratio was 101.2 percent in December 2021 and 100.1 percent in December 2020.
- The statewide average price per square foot for an existing single-family home remained elevated. December’s price per square foot was $382, up from $330 in December a year ago.
- The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 3.10 percent in December, up from 2.68 percent in December 2020, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate averaged 2.43 percent, compared to 2.79 percent in December 2020.
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